Most tipped workers in Southern Nevada — whom Trump is hoping the policy appeals to — are represented by a union. The Culinary Union, 60,000 members strong, has delivered the swing state to Democrats in past elections through powerful canvassing efforts and voting might. That number was even stronger among union households, whom Biden won by 19 percentage points.
Democrats — and Culinary itself — believe the traditional alliance between the party and organized labor, in addition to Trump’s well-established record on taxes, can blunt any appeal the policy might have.